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5 tracked developments on Air force in the Russian armed forces, 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-27 (page 3 of 3, 85 in all), with sources.

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Single source — Display is not verification. The value lies in what the party itself publishes or claims: doctrine, self-image, announcements.

InformNapalm claims Ukrainian hack caused Russian air defence to shoot down its own Su-57 near Moscow

2026-07-27SINGLE SOURCE

The Ukrainian OSINT/intelligence-affiliated group InformNapalm claims, as reported by Censor.net on 23 July 2026, that Ukrainian intelligence services carried out a combined HUMINT and CYBINT operation against Russia's 'BARS Moscow' air-defence formation, tasked with protecting the capital region from Ukrainian long-range drones — the same unit named in Russian Telegram speculation around the separately tracked verified crash entry of a suspected Su-57 near Moscow (23 July). According to InformNapalm, preparations began as early as 17 July 2026, using intercepted live video streams from a training ground, resulting in an analytical report on personnel, system architecture and technical vulnerabilities. The identified vulnerabilities allegedly allowed operational interference with the system while a Su-57 was flying overhead. Through cyber interference and what InformNapalm calls 'cognitive influence' on the crew, operators were reportedly forced to misidentify their own fighter as a hostile target and shoot it down. InformNapalm dismisses the Russian Defence Ministry's later 'technical malfunction' explanation as a cover story. Importantly, this is a single-source, not independently confirmed Ukrainian claim from InformNapalm/Censor.net. No Russian, satellite, or other third-party source has corroborated the 'hack' allegation, and the technical feasibility of such a cyber operation cannot be verified. This item should be read strictly as an unconfirmed Ukrainian narrative about the cause, not as an established fact.

Sources: censor

Fighters from Black Forest unit struck MiG-29 and Pantsir-S1 at Khalino airfield in the Kursk region

2026-07-22SINGLE SOURCE

Censor.NET (EN) reports that fighters from Ukraine's 'Black Forest' unit — identified elsewhere as the 15th Separate Artillery Reconnaissance Brigade 'Black Forest' of the Ukrainian Ground Forces — struck a Russian MiG-29 fighter jet and a Pantsir-S1 gun/missile air-defense system at the Khalino airfield in Kursk Oblast, roughly 7 km east of Kursk city. The airfield hosts the 14th Fighter Aviation Regiment of Russia's 105th Mixed Aviation Division. This is the same underlying strike covered separately in the verified stream via Ukraine's General Staff, Euromaidan Press, Ukrainska Pravda and Kyiv Independent, which reported the drone strike on the MiG-29 (estimated $25 million) and the Pantsir-S1 (estimated $20 million) without naming a specific unit. Censor.NET's report adds the named-unit claim, attributing the operation to the Black Forest brigade, a formation previously credited with using reconnaissance drones to guide strikes (including Storm Shadow missiles) and with destroying an entire Russian air-defense regiment in 2024. This unit attribution is a single-source claim reported by Censor.NET, a Ukrainian outlet, and has not been independently corroborated by Russian sources or a second independent outlet; it should be treated as an unverified Ukrainian claim pending further confirmation.

Sources: censor

Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 4 Takes Flight, Giving Europe a Powerful New Rival to Russia's Su-35 and Su-57

2026-07-22SINGLE SOURCE

On 14 July 2026, the first German Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 4 aircraft made its maiden flight at Airbus' Military Aircraft Centre in Manching, under Germany's Project Quadriga procurement. The headline upgrade is the ECRS Mk 1 AESA radar, which the manufacturer says delivers greater detection range, faster target acquisition, improved tracking accuracy, and better performance against small or low-observable targets such as cruise missiles and stealth aircraft. The aircraft also gets upgrades across the avionics suite and a redesigned cockpit with large-area displays; no engine upgrade is mentioned. Weapons integration includes the Meteor beyond-visual-range air-to-air missile. Germany has ordered 58 Tranche 4 aircraft in total (38 in 2020, plus 20 more in 2025), with deliveries beginning this year and continuing through 2030 at roughly 14 aircraft annually. Spain will also receive the ECRS Mk 1 radar variant, while the United Kingdom has opted for the more advanced ECRS Mk 2. Germany has already ordered a further 20 Tranche 5 aircraft for delivery in the 2030-2035 timeframe. The headline comparison to Russia's Su-35 and Su-57 is largely speculative editorial framing rather than a substantiated capability assessment: the article asserts the upgraded Typhoon, combined with the Meteor missile, "could become a formidable opponent" for these Russian fighters, but provides no technical specifications or performance data to back the claim. This is single-source information: the Russia-rivalry framing reflects this one Ukrainian outlet's editorial commentary on a NATO weapons program, not an independently verified capability assessment or a firsthand combat claim.

Sources: defexpress

Why Does Russia Need More Than 40 MiG-31 Kinzhal Carriers if It Has Only About 100 Missiles?

2026-07-21SINGLE SOURCE

According to an analysis by Defense Express (Ivan Kyrychevskiy, July 20, 2026), Russia now operates more than 40 MiG-31K/I aircraft converted to carry the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic missile, while the stockpile of that weapon stands at only around 100 units, according to Ukraine's Defense Intelligence directorate (HUR). Production runs at roughly five missiles per month, with a target of 60 for all of 2026, and the weapon has reportedly been used only eight times so far this year. HUR says Russia has deliberately slowed both production and operational use of the Kinzhal because of its high cost and relatively limited combat effectiveness. The number of Kinzhal-capable MiG-31s grew from 24 at the end of 2023 (per The Military Balance) to 40+ now, an increase of at least 16 airframes over two and a half years. Since Russia no longer manufactures new MiG-31 interceptors, these additional carriers almost certainly come from long-term storage stock, estimated at 130-150 airframes as of 2018. The newest variant, the MiG-31I, adds automatic navigation to the missile launch point as its main improvement over the earlier MiG-31K. The author himself calls the logic behind this fleet expansion 'questionable': with 40+ carriers against roughly 100 missiles in stock plus an expected production of about 30 more this year, Russia effectively has only about three missiles available per aircraft. The article exposes this mismatch but does not offer a firm explanation for the scale-up itself — it frames it mainly as an open question about Russian weapons logistics. Note: this is a single-source analysis from Defense Express, a Ukrainian military-analysis outlet, and its figures and conclusions have not yet been independently corroborated by a second source.

Sources: defexpress

How Aster Missile Licensing Could Pave the Way for Ukraine to Get Comet Air-to-Air Missile with 200–300 km Range

2026-07-20SINGLE SOURCE

In mid-July 2026, France pledged to license Ukraine for domestic production of the Aster missile (used in the SAMP/T air-defense system), alongside SCALP cruise missiles and AASM Hammer precision-guided bombs. President Macron announced this at a press conference in Paris on the sidelines of a "Coalition of the Willing" meeting, as part of a broader package that also includes the delivery of 16 Rafale fighter jets. Ukrainian defense outlet Defense Express argues in an analysis piece that this Aster license could open the door to an entirely different weapon system: the "Comet," a new long-range air-to-air missile reportedly being developed by MBDA based on Aster technology and components, with a claimed range of 200-300 km, exceeding that of the Meteor missile. Comet is expected to be ready around 2030 and is specifically intended for the Rafale F5 variant. Since Aster is already set to be produced under license in Ukraine, Defense Express reasons that Ukraine's defense industry could plausibly join Comet's development or production. SINGLE SOURCE — this is a single-source analysis/speculation from Defense Express, not a confirmed program. There is no official confirmation — from France, MBDA, or Ukraine's Ministry of Defense — of any actual deal, licensing agreement, or development track involving Ukraine in the Comet missile. The cited specifications for Comet (200-300 km range, ~2030 readiness) are also unverified.

Sources: defexpress